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Pat Caddell : ウィキペディア英語版
Patrick Caddell

Patrick Hayward "Pat" Caddell (born May 19, 1950) is an American public opinion pollster and a political film consultant.
==Life and career==
Caddell was born in Rock Hill, South Carolina. He has worked for Democratic presidential candidates George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and 1980, Gary Hart in 1984, Joe Biden in 1988, and Jerry Brown in 1992. He also worked for Colorado Senate candidate Andrew Romanoff in 2010.〔Pareene, Alex (2010-11-22) (War Room's Hack Thirty - No. 27: Pat Caddell ), ''Salon.com''〕
Caddell has served as a consultant to various movies and television shows, most notably the movies ''Running Mates'', ''Air Force One'', ''Outbreak'', ''In the Line of Fire'', and the serial drama ''The West Wing''. He was also a marketing consultant on Coca-Cola's disastrous New Coke campaign.〔Glastris, Paul (The powers that shouldn't be; five Washington insiders the next Democratic president shouldn't hire ), ''Washington Monthly'' (Oct. 1987)〕
In 1988, Caddell left Democratic consulting firm Caddell, Doak and Shrum after what the ''Washington Post'' described as an "acrimonious lawsuit."〔OnPolitics, ''Washington Post'': (The Media Barons: Top Political Admakers. ) April 30, 2000.〕 Republicans would often cite Caddell's tirades against the Democratic Party when they spoke on the floor of the House and the Senate.〔("Was Time Magazine Playing Politics with Its 2006 Person of the Year Cover?" )〕〔("Bad News for the Kids" )〕〔("This Poll Is Designed to Produce Certain Results" )〕
Caddell persuaded Jimmy Carter to focus in 1976 on the "trust factor", rather than divisive political issues in the 1976 campaign, a strategy which led, narrowly, to victory. The Arkansas political scientist and pollster Jim Ranchino declared the then 26-year-old Caddell "the best pollster in the business."〔''The Blytheville, Arkansas, Courier News'', June 11, 1976, p. 3〕 According to researchers, Caddell had wide influence in the Carter White House, and was the chief advocate of what later became known as Carter's "malaise speech".〔Heath, Diane J.: "Staffing the White House public opinion apparatus", "Public Opinion Quarterly, Smith, R: "Size of the Moon", 62:2 (1998)〕
His analysis on polls and campaign issues often puts him at odds with the current leadership of the Democratic Party. He has been criticized by media watchdogs and columnists for predicting negative consequences for the Democratic Party. Critics point out that he has defended the Bush administration by arguing that Republicans did not exploit the issue of gay marriage in the presidential election of 2004. He also denounced Democrats in the House who voted against the Palm Sunday Compromise, which sought to reinstate Terri Schiavo's feeding tube, as "cold blooded," and called environmentalism "a conspiracy 'to basically deconstruct capitalism.'"〔
Caddell is a regular guest on the Fox News Channel, and he is listed as an official 'Fox News Contributor'. This has earned him the label of a "Fox News Democrat" by critics such as liberal opinion magazine Salon.com.〔 He has also frequently appeared on the conservative website Ricochet.com discussing politics.〔http://ricochet.com/main-feed/Ricochet-Podcast-64-Hey-Now〕〔http://ricochet.com/main-feed/Ricochet-Podcast-39-The-Shrinking-Violets〕〔http://ricochet.com/main-feed/Ricochet-Podcast-95-A-Pre-Revolutionary-Moment〕
According to Slate,〔http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/09/mitt_romney_video_romney_wants_to_persuade_undecided_voters_by_getting_former_obama_voters_to_express_their_disappointment_in_the_president_.html〕 Caddell was involved in identifying people willing to participate in the 2012 anti-Obama documentary ''The Hope and the Change'', produced by Citizens United.

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